No projection this week
Alex doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.
How much he's on the field
Alex has averaged 73% of his team's snaps across 3 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. Opportunity is the first thing the model reads and the last thing it gives up on — production without snaps is noise, and snaps without production usually corrects.
Why there are no counting stats here
Alex plays on the offensive line, and the box score has almost nothing to say about him — no target, carry or tackle records what a guard did on a given snap. What this page can show is availability: he's taken 73% of his team's snaps across 3 games, and for a lineman that IS the story, because the position is close to all-or-nothing. We'd rather show that plainly than invent a grade we haven't earned the data to publish.
His last 3 games
Over that stretch Alex has 0 total yards. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.
How the model reads him
The number on Alex is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.
What we'd flag
Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half. For Alex specifically, Alex has only 3 games in our log, so every rate on this page is fragile; and his position produces almost no box-score data, so there is less here than on a skill player's page and we'd rather say so.