MatchWiz

Anthony Firkser

TEDETDetroit Lions

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

Season Projection

· 9 pts · TE71 · 6.4 games
2NO12@BUF22NYJ31@CAR41@ARI5BYE62GB71MIN82@MIA91NE101TB111CHI121@ATL132TEN141@MIN152NYG161@CHI172@GB18

Projected points per week, from the same simulation as the season total. Bars are scaled to this player's own best week, so the shape shows which weeks carry him. The season number already accounts for the games we expect him to miss; these weekly bars do not — each is what he does in a week he plays.

No projection this week

Anthony doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Anthony has been on the field for 30% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of tight end he is

Tight end is the position where usage varies most: two players with the same label can be a primary receiving option and a sixth offensive lineman. Anthony has caught 28 of 35 targets (80%) for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns — 7.8 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Anthony has 53 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending up — 48% lately against 30% overall. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Anthony as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish. For Anthony specifically, he's on the field for a minority of snaps, which caps the projection regardless of how he's playing.

Anthony Firkser — FAQ

How much does Anthony Firkser play?

He's averaged 30% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Anthony Firkser's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 18CHI70%322000
2025 · 17MIN55%100000
2025 · 16PIT35%4440000
2025 · 14DAL56%117000
2025 · 13GB24%114000
2024 · 16HOU11%000000
2023 · 21SF18%118000
2022 · 18TB24%1111000
2022 · 16BAL21%3210000
2022 · 15NO31%200000
2022 · 13PIT26%2224000
2022 · 12WSH39%1116000
2022 · 5TB23%1111000
2022 · 3SEA16%1122000
2022 · 1NO4%216000
2021 · 20CIN26%100000
2021 · 18HOU34%4456001
2021 · 17MIA46%3324001
2021 · 16SF26%1113000
2021 · 15PIT21%2219000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).