MatchWiz

Brandon Aiyuk

WRSFSan Francisco 49ers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Brandon doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Brandon has been on the field for 81% of his team's snaps. That's a full-time role. Snap share at this level is the most stable input we have — it changes slowly, and it survives a bad game in a way that yardage never does. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of receiver he is

Brandon has caught 79 of 129 targets (61%) for 1354 yards and 6 touchdowns — 10.5 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Brandon has 303 total yards. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Brandon as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.

Brandon Aiyuk — FAQ

How much does Brandon Aiyuk play?

He's averaged 81% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Brandon Aiyuk's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2024 · 7KC40%6223000
2024 · 6SEA95%4237000
2024 · 5ARI92%128147000
2024 · 4NE79%5248000
2024 · 3LAR80%10548000
2024 · 2MIN87%5443000
2024 · 1NYJ60%5228000
2023 · 22KC89%6349000
2023 · 21DET85%8368001
2023 · 20GB100%6332000
2023 · 18LAR38%4325000
2023 · 17WSH87%87114001
2023 · 16BAL94%76113000
2023 · 15ARI82%5337000
2023 · 14SEA91%96126000
2023 · 13PHI86%7546001
2023 · 12SEA89%4250001
2023 · 11TB88%65156001
2023 · 10JAX68%3355001
2023 · 8CIN92%95109000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).