No projection this week
Dan doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.
How much he's on the field
Across 7 games, Dan has been on the field for 45% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.
Why there are no counting stats here
Dan plays on the offensive line, and the box score has almost nothing to say about him — no target, carry or tackle records what a guard did on a given snap. What this page can show is availability: he's taken 45% of his team's snaps across 7 games, and for a lineman that IS the story, because the position is close to all-or-nothing. We'd rather show that plainly than invent a grade we haven't earned the data to publish.
His last 5 games
Over that stretch Dan has 13 total yards. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.
How the model reads him
Every projection here is built the same way for Dan as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.
What we'd flag
Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish. For Dan specifically, his position produces almost no box-score data, so there is less here than on a skill player's page and we'd rather say so.