MatchWiz

Desmond Ridder

QBGBGreen Bay Packers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Desmond doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Desmond has been on the field for 74% of his team's snaps. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of quarterback he is

Desmond has completed 301 of 473 (64%) for 3294 yards, 14 touchdowns and 14 interceptions — 7 yards an attempt. He's also run for 229 yards, which matters more than it looks: rushing production is the most reliable floor a quarterback has, because it doesn't depend on anyone catching anything. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Desmond has 494 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 40% lately against 74% overall. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Desmond as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.

Desmond Ridder — FAQ

How much does Desmond Ridder play?

He's averaged 74% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Desmond Ridder's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2024 · 18LAC6%1211000
2024 · 15ATL100%23392081228
2024 · 14TB34%1218101003
2024 · 12DEN17%51064003
2024 · 9CIN43%111674102
2023 · 18NO84%2230291210
2023 · 17CHI14%3417010
2023 · 15CAR100%122015211-2
2023 · 14TB100%26403471115
2023 · 13NYJ100%1227121100
2023 · 12NO100%13211681230
2023 · 10ARI31%46390011
2023 · 8TEN46%812710026
2023 · 7TB100%19252500038
2023 · 6WSH100%28473072318
2023 · 5HOU100%28373291010
2023 · 4JAX100%1931191126
2023 · 3DET100%2138201003
2023 · 2GB100%19322371139
2023 · 1CAR100%151811510-1

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).