MatchWiz

Gabe Davis

WRBUFBuffalo Bills

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Gabe doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

65% — that's Gabe's average snap share over 20 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of receiver he is

Gabe has caught 40 of 74 targets (54%) for 533 yards and 4 touchdowns — 7.2 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Gabe has 81 total yards. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Gabe's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Gabe Davis — FAQ

How much does Gabe Davis play?

He's averaged 65% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Gabe Davis's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 19JAX40%3214000
2025 · 18NYJ93%7541001
2025 · 17PHI38%100000
2025 · 14CIN58%2221000
2025 · 13PIT58%215000
2025 · 12HOU55%2122000
2025 · 11TB41%4340000
2024 · 11DET54%313000
2024 · 10MIN86%4119000
2024 · 8GB16%000000
2024 · 7NE69%2113000
2024 · 6CHI69%8545002
2024 · 5IND78%4338000
2024 · 4HOU79%51-2000
2024 · 3BUF76%6218000
2024 · 2CLE95%7343000
2024 · 1MIA94%3362000
2023 · 18MIA23%200000
2023 · 17NE91%3221000
2023 · 16LAC85%64130001

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).