MatchWiz

Jimmy Garoppolo

QBLARLos Angeles Rams

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Jimmy doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Jimmy has averaged 74% of his team's snaps across 20 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. Opportunity is the first thing the model reads and the last thing it gives up on — production without snaps is noise, and snaps without production usually corrects.

What kind of quarterback he is

Jimmy has completed 313 of 468 (67%) for 3611 yards, 23 touchdowns and 13 interceptions — 7.7 yards an attempt. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Jimmy has 329 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 26% lately against 74% overall. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.

How the model reads him

The number on Jimmy is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half.

Jimmy Garoppolo — FAQ

How much does Jimmy Garoppolo play?

He's averaged 74% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Jimmy Garoppolo's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2025 · 18ARI4%00000-3
2025 · 14ARI17%00000-4
2025 · 7JAX4%00000-3
2024 · 18SEA100%2741334215
2023 · 18DEN5%010000
2023 · 8DET100%10211260112
2023 · 6NE61%1422162114
2023 · 5GB100%2231208114
2023 · 3PIT100%2844324237
2023 · 2BUF100%1624185121
2023 · 1DEN97%20262002111
2022 · 13MIA10%2456000
2022 · 12NO100%2637222104
2022 · 11ARI88%2029228403
2022 · 10LAC100%1928240003
2022 · 8LAR100%2125235203
2022 · 7KC87%2537303212
2022 · 6ATL100%29412962211
2022 · 5CAR99%183025320-1
2022 · 4LAR100%1627239103

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).