No projection this week
Josh doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.
What kind of defensive back he is
Josh has 0 tackles across 3 games — 0 a game. Tackle volume is a strange stat for a defensive back: the best coverage players sometimes post the fewest, because nothing is thrown their way. A rising tackle count can mean he's playing well in run support or that receivers are catching the ball in front of him, and the box score can't tell you which.
His last 3 games
Over that stretch Josh has 0 tackles. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.
How the model reads him
Josh's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.
What we'd flag
Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection. For Josh specifically, Josh has only 3 games in our log, so every rate on this page is fragile.