MatchWiz

Ke'Shawn Vaughn

RBSFSan Francisco 49ers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Ke'Shawn doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 19 games, Ke'Shawn has been on the field for 20% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of back he is

Ke'Shawn has 96 carries for 332 yards (3.5 a carry) and 3 rushing touchdowns. He's also seen 19 targets for 56 yards — pass-game work is what separates a back who plays on third down from one who leaves the field, and it's worth more to a projection than the same yardage on the ground. Running-back yardage swings hard on the blocking in front of him, which is why the model weighs opportunity — carries and targets — above efficiency.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Ke'Shawn has 29 total yards. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Ke'Shawn as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish. For Ke'Shawn specifically, he's on the field for a minority of snaps, which caps the projection regardless of how he's playing.

Ke'Shawn Vaughn — FAQ

How much does Ke'Shawn Vaughn play?

He's averaged 20% of his team's snaps across 19 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Ke'Shawn Vaughn's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2024 · 14CHI5%000240
2023 · 9HOU8%11-1490
2023 · 8BUF6%000110
2023 · 7ATL25%100470
2023 · 6DET21%200690
2023 · 4NO30%1139160
2022 · 18ATL29%2288260
2022 · 16ARI2%000160
2022 · 15CIN—000000
2022 · 12CLE13%0004150
2022 · 10SEA7%1111220
2022 · 9LAR4%100240
2021 · 19PHI49%22917530
2021 · 18CAR45%221210290
2021 · 17NYJ32%32148310
2021 · 16CAR36%1007700
2021 · 15NO26%2003190
2021 · 11NYG12%000340
2021 · 7CHI11%0005270

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).