MatchWiz

Robbie Chosen

WRWSHWashington Commanders

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Robbie doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

40% — that's Robbie's average snap share over 20 games. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of receiver he is

Robbie has caught 22 of 50 targets (44%) for 332 yards and 1 touchdown — 6.6 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Robbie has 58 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 31% lately against 40% overall. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Robbie's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection. For Robbie specifically, he's on the field for a minority of snaps, which caps the projection regardless of how he's playing.

Robbie Chosen — FAQ

How much does Robbie Chosen play?

He's averaged 40% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Robbie Chosen's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 11MIA36%100000
2025 · 10DET28%4117000
2025 · 7DAL49%4436000
2024 · 2BUF22%415000
2023 · 17BAL19%100000
2023 · 16DAL8%1119000
2023 · 15NYJ38%000000
2023 · 11LV7%2239000
2023 · 4BUF28%100000
2023 · 3DEN58%1168001
2022 · 17ATL23%1113000
2022 · 15DEN37%200000
2022 · 14NE31%4450000
2022 · 12LAC42%3117000
2022 · 9SEA83%31-4000
2022 · 8MIN9%300000
2022 · 7NO18%100000
2022 · 5SF77%5132000
2022 · 4ARI96%5326000
2022 · 3NO84%4114000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).