MatchWiz

Sony Michel

RBLACLos Angeles Chargers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Sony doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Sony has been on the field for 42% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of back he is

Sony has 191 carries for 726 yards (3.8 a carry) and 3 rushing touchdowns. He's also seen 37 targets for 111 yards — pass-game work is what separates a back who plays on third down from one who leaves the field, and it's worth more to a projection than the same yardage on the ground. Running-back yardage swings hard on the blocking in front of him, which is why the model weighs opportunity — carries and targets — above efficiency.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Sony has 70 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 18% lately against 42% overall. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Sony as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.

Sony Michel — FAQ

How much does Sony Michel play?

He's averaged 42% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Sony Michel's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2022 · 11KC8%000110
2022 · 10SF14%000120
2022 · 9ATL16%1001120
2022 · 7SEA18%318250
2022 · 6DEN32%33148280
2022 · 5CLE3%000100
2022 · 4HOU24%33166110
2022 · 3JAX23%2195220
2022 · 2KC12%1164130
2022 · 1LV24%0007120
2021 · 22CIN10%000220
2021 · 21SF57%21-410160
2021 · 20TB19%22-4140
2021 · 19ARI40%00013580
2021 · 18SF80%41621430
2021 · 17BAL98%532519740
2021 · 16MIN90%414271310
2021 · 15SEA73%222318920
2021 · 14ARI100%10020790
2021 · 13JAX97%438241210

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).