MatchWiz

Tre'Quan Smith

WRDETDetroit Lions

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Tre'Quan doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

61% — that's Tre'Quan's average snap share over 20 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of receiver he is

Tre'Quan has caught 51 of 77 targets (66%) for 655 yards and 4 touchdowns — 8.5 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Tre'Quan has 43 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 41% lately against 61% overall. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Tre'Quan's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Tre'Quan Smith — FAQ

How much does Tre'Quan Smith play?

He's averaged 61% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Tre'Quan Smith's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2022 · 18CAR32%116000
2022 · 12SF26%118000
2022 · 10PIT15%000000
2022 · 9BAL71%4329000
2022 · 8LV59%100000
2022 · 7ARI61%6559000
2022 · 6CIN71%3343001
2022 · 5SEA68%4110000
2022 · 4MIN23%2118000
2022 · 3CAR61%54105000
2021 · 18ATL72%7576001
2021 · 15TB66%3217000
2021 · 14NYJ70%3333000
2021 · 13DAL67%7215000
2021 · 12BUF79%5431000
2021 · 11PHI95%8564000
2021 · 10TEN91%7444001
2021 · 9ATL80%4353000
2021 · 8TB63%3333001
2021 · 7SEA55%3111000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).