MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tyler Mahle. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.318 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.778 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat worth about 2.19 fantasy points a trip. And Tyler Mahle has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 5 career PA against Tyler Mahle, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (100) vs RHP Nolan McLean: an excellent bat at 2.271 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (1.579), hot bat.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs RHP Joe Ryan: an excellent bat at 2.193 into an arm tough on the same side (1.227).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (97) vs RHP Trey Yesavage: an excellent bat at 2.284 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (1.750).
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (96) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a strong bat at 1.861 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (4.360).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (92) vs RHP Erick Fedde: an excellent bat at 2.068 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.968).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (92) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at 1.853 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (1.878), hitter's park.
- Nate Eaton (BOS) (89) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at 1.733 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (1.878), hitter's park.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting lit up by lefties — 2.117 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Ketel Marte (AZ), Corbin Carroll (AZ), and Tommy Troy (AZ).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been getting lit up by righties — 1.917 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Nathan Lukes (TOR), Daulton Varsho (TOR), and Kazuma Okamoto (TOR).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting lit up by lefties — 1.915 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Nate Eaton (BOS), and Wilyer Abreu (BOS).
- RHP Aaron Nola has been getting lit up by righties — 1.907 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), Luis García Jr. (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.318 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.119 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.192 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.433 against righties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, 2.156 against lefties this year.
Best parks for fantasy points today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% fantasy park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 92.
How it played out
6 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play Nick Kurtz finished with 0 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.