MatchWiz

PIT @ WSH Live projections & gamecast · Friday, July 3, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
59
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 100°F ClearWind 5 mph, In From LF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 5/5 field 14/18Home Runs · top 5 2/5 field 4/18RBIs · top 5 3/5 field 7/18Runs · top 5 5/5 field 11/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 6/18Stolen Bases · top 5 1/5 field 4/18Total Bases · leans 14/18H+R+RBI · leans 11/18Strikeouts · leans 1/2Outs Recorded · leans 1/2Hits Allowed · leans 1/2Walks Allowed · leans 0/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob PIT 29% · WSH 71%Proj total 9.2 vs line 9.5NRFI 60% (mkt 48%) James Wood · Runs 100 Luis García Jr. · Hits 100 Foster Griffin · Earned Runs 100

PIT PIT Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this PIT @ WSH page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.