MatchWiz

SD @ CHC Live projections & gamecast · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
79
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 92°F ClearWind 19 mph, Out To CF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 5/5 field 17/18Home Runs · top 5 3/5 field 6/18RBIs · top 5 3/5 field 7/18Runs · top 5 4/5 field 12/18Walks · top 5 3/5 field 6/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Total Bases · leans 14/18H+R+RBI · leans 9/18Strikeouts · leans 2/2Outs Recorded · leans 1/2Hits Allowed · leans 0/2Walks Allowed · leans 1/2Earned Runs · leans 1/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob SD 44% · CHC 56%Proj total 8.1 vs line 11.5NRFI 54% (mkt 42%) JP Sears · Outs Recorded 87 Matthew Boyd · Outs Recorded 70 Samad Taylor · Hits 68

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this SD @ CHC page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.