MatchWiz

NYM @ ATL Live projections & gamecast · Friday, July 3, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
35
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 79°F OvercastWind 3 mph, L To R

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 3/5 field 10/18Home Runs · top 5 3/5 field 4/18RBIs · top 5 3/5 field 5/18Runs · top 5 4/5 field 7/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 5/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Total Bases · leans 8/18H+R+RBI · leans 7/18Strikeouts · leans 1/2Outs Recorded · leans 1/2Hits Allowed · leans 0/2Walks Allowed · leans 2/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob NYM 39% · ATL 61%Proj total 8.3 vs line 7.5NRFI 57% (mkt 48%) Grant Holmes · Earned Runs 100 Ozzie Albies · Runs 98 Drake Baldwin · Runs 95

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

ATL ATL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this NYM @ ATL page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.