Best MLB Singles Matchups — Saturday, August 22, 2026
Top singles spot: Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Casey Mize. The righty is lining singles at .172 1B/PA against righties this year — and .176 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a single in about 17% of his trips. And Casey Mize has been fairly stingy against righties lately — .133 singles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Casey Mize too — .333 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (100) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: an excellent bat at .182 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Bo Bichette (NYM) (100) vs RHP Luis Castillo: an elite bat at .193 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.191).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (100) vs RHP Brandon Young: an elite bat at .202 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.238).
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (100) vs RHP Brandon Young: an elite bat at .240 into an arm around league average against the same side (.148), hot bat.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) (97) vs RHP Michael Wacha: an excellent bat at .184 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.077).
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (92) vs RHP Rhett Lowder: an excellent bat at .173 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250), hot bat.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (89) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: an excellent bat at .176 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .198 against righties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .266 against righties this year.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .150 against righties this year.
- Nick Sogard (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Chandler Simpson (TB), Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Colt Keith (DET), Jackson Chourio (MIL), Vinnie Pasquantino (KC), and Sal Stewart (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Victor Bericoto (SF), Jake Cronenworth (SD), Sam Antonacci (CWS), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Pedro Ramírez (CHC).
How it played out
5 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Luke Keaschall finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.