Best MLB Singles Matchups — Sunday, August 23, 2026
Top singles spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tyler Mahle. The righty is lining singles at .159 1B/PA against righties this year — and .250 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a single in about 17% of his trips. And Tyler Mahle has been tough to string hits off righties lately — .100 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Tyler Mahle too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (100) vs LHP Jackson Kent: an excellent bat at .183 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) (100) vs RHP Cristian Javier: an excellent bat at .177 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.286), due to bounce back.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (100) vs RHP Shane Baz: an elite bat at .244 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250), hot bat.
- Daylen Lile (WSH) (98) vs RHP Janson Junk: a strong bat at .163 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.194).
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (96) vs RHP Bailey Ober: a strong bat at .163 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.185).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (95) vs RHP Shane Baz: an elite bat at .212 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.167).
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (91) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: an excellent bat at .188 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.100), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .248 against lefties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .266 against righties this year.
- Daylen Lile (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .137 against righties this year.
- Keibert Ruiz (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .158 against righties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .195 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Chandler Simpson (TB), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), Ty France (SD), Pete Alonso (BAL), Luke Keaschall (MIN), and Angel Genao (CLE). Cold but due to bounce back: Henry Bolte (ATH), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Ildemaro Vargas (AZ), Brandon Nimmo (TEX), and Abimelec Ortiz (WSH).
How it played out
5 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.