Moneyline board
Win probability and fair odds for every game, next to the book's.
Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The book's line beside each one is where that market closed.
MatchupWin %WizLineMarketWizEdge
Final117.1 – 117.0proj
Bulls13250.4%−102WizLine−102market+2.1%
Bucks12549.6%+102WizLine−118market−2.1%Final106.7 – 109.8proj
Knicks10337.6%+166WizLine+120market−5.8%
Celtics10762.4%−166WizLine−145market+5.8%Final113.4 – 117.1proj
Hawks12834.9%+187WizLine−140market−21.1%
Hornets8165.1%−187WizLine+118market+21.1%Final120.3 – 120.1proj
Mavericks12150.9%−104WizLine+210market+20.0%
Pacers10549.1%+104WizLine−260market−20.0%Final117.0 – 117.4proj
Timberwolves11548.7%+105WizLine+100market+0.9%
Magic9351.3%−105WizLine−120market−0.9%Final123.3 – 111.1proj
Raptors11288.2%−747WizLine−340market+14.4%
Wizards10211.8%+747WizLine+265market−14.4%Final121.2 – 117.8proj
Pistons12863.8%−176WizLine−125market+10.5%
Heat11136.2%+176WizLine+105market−10.5%Final110.5 – 114.6proj
Rockets11433.8%+196WizLine+162market−2.8%
Spurs11066.2%−196WizLine−195market+2.8%Final122.6 – 120.3proj
Pelicans11959.0%−144WizLine−105market+10.1%
Jazz12041.0%+144WizLine−115market−10.1%● Q4 · 2:02114.2 – 120.9proj
Grizzlies9824.9%+302WizLine+140market−14.9%
Warriors10675.1%−302WizLine−170market+14.9%Final110.1 – 111.4proj
Clippers11744.6%+124WizLine+280market+19.4%
Lakers12555.4%−124WizLine−355market−19.4%Final121.1 – 112.1proj
Trail Blazers12881.6%−443WizLine−450market+3.3%
Kings12018.4%+443WizLine+340market−3.3%12 of 12 games priced, 12 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability at the book's own number minus theirs, both with the vig divided out, in percentage points. Gold is the side we're on — a disagreement, not a price you can bet. Projections, not picks.