NBA — every game, projected

Matchups, player props and fantasy — all read off one consistent simulation. Pick a lane.

Matchups

Projected score, spread and win probability for every game, with the players behind each number.

Game projections

Player Props

Points, rebounds, assists, combo props and more for every player on the slate, ranked.

All boards

Fantasy

Fantasy points with a real floor and ceiling, in DraftKings, FanDuel or standard scoring.

Projected points

DFS Optimizer

Free DraftKings and FanDuel lineup builder — each book's own salaries and scoring, stacking, locks and exposure, CSV export.

Build a lineup

Season

Every player's season projected game by game, with the contests we expect him to actually play.

Full-season points

Teams

Every team's roster and schedule, with projected leaders and key injuries.

Rosters & schedules

Players

A page for every player we project — this week's numbers, recent game log, and the usage behind them.

Player pages

Scores

Live and final scores for every game, updated throughout the night.

Live & final

Schedule

Every game today — tipoff times and the model's projection on each matchup.

Today's slate

Standings

Current standings with wins, losses, and playoff seeding.

League table

TV Schedule

What's on and where, laid out by network and tipoff time.

Every game, every channel

Every NBA game here is simulated thousands of times, and every board on this page is read off the same runs. That's why the numbers agree with each other — a player's points plus his rebounds plus his assists equal his PRA, by construction.

We also tested whether any of it beats the market, and published the answer: on matchups and on player props, the market wins. So nothing here is sold as a pick. It's our number next to the book's, graded in the open.

Matchups All markets →

MoneylineWin probability and fair odds for every game.Open board →SpreadProjected spread vs the market line.Open board →TotalProjected game total vs the market total.Open board →Team TotalProjected team totals for every side.Open board →

Player Props All boards →

PointsProjected points for every player this week, driven by usage and efficiency.Open board →ReboundsProjected rebounds for every player, built from position, minutes and rebound rate.Open board →AssistsProjected assists for every player, driven by playmaking role and usage.Open board →StealsProjected steals for every player, based on defensive pressure and steal rate.Open board →BlocksProjected blocks for every player, driven by defensive activity and position.Open board →Threes MadeProjected three-pointers made for every player, driven by three-point rate and accuracy.Open board →Double DoubleProbability of double double (two stats ≥10).Open board →Triple DoubleProbability of triple double (three stats ≥10).Open board →1st BasketProbability a player scores the first basket of the game.Open board →PRAProjected points + rebounds + assists, the most common combo prop.Open board →PAProjected points + assists for every player.Open board →PRProjected points + rebounds for every player.Open board →RAProjected rebounds + assists for every player.Open board →Blocks + StealsProjected blocks + steals for every defensive player.Open board →FG MadeProjected field goals made for every player, based on shot volume and conversion rate.Open board →TurnoversProjected turnovers for every player, based on ball-handling and usage patterns.Open board →

NBA model — FAQ

Are these betting picks?

No. Every NBA number here is a projection, published as graded transparency rather than a play. We show our number next to the market's and let you judge.

How are the projections built?

Each game is simulated thousands of times using player usage rates, efficiency metrics, and matchup factors. Every board is read off the same runs, so the numbers reconcile.

Do rookies get projections?

Yes. A rookie is seeded from his draft position and role using historical comparables, then adjusted for his team's pace and spacing.