MatchWiz

Total board

Projected game total, and the two team totals it's built from.

Early season 15 games into the season, our total is the weakest number on this board. It reads a rolling year, so in October that's last season plus a few exhibitions — and the game-to-game variation carries under half its weight until the league has played about 300. It firms up through November.

MatchupWizLineMarketWizEdgeAwayHome
Final
Cavaliers106at76ers114232.4WizLine237.0market−10.0%under117.3Cavaliers115.276ers
● Q2 · 2:26
Nuggets44atThunder40230.6WizLine236.5market−12.1%under111.6Nuggets119.0Thunder

2 of 2 games priced, 2 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability that the game goes over the book's own total, minus theirs, both with the vig divided out. Positive is the over. Read the COLUMN before any one row: across 103 book totals it ran one way inside each slate — 4.1 points over the book all preseason, then 3.1 under on opening week — so a card where we agree with the market is the signal here, not a card where we don't. No gold on this tab for the same reason. Projections, not picks.

All four markets on one board · Scores · Standings