NHL Goals
Goals per 60. Rare enough that a player's own sample says little, so this one is shrunk about five times harder than shots.
Fri, Oct 23 · 2 games
99 skaters priced for the slate, 10 with a book line. The WizLine is his shrunk rate at his projected minutes against tonight's opponent. Over is the chance he clears the line. Beside it: the line most books hang, the best price on each side and who has it. WizEdge is our chance minus the books' with the hold taken out.
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMCole CaufieldRWOver 0.5 · 43.8%19:51 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+110UFD−145−0.8%WizEdge
MTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.58G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMNathan MacKinnonCOver 0.5 · 42.3%21:17 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+125UFD−165+0.7%WizEdge
COL vs TBL9:00 PM0.55G
TBL @ COL9:00 PMNikita KucherovRWOver 0.5 · 37.9%21:18 projected TOINo line yet
TBL @ COL9:00 PM0.48G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMMartin NecasCOver 0.5 · 34.8%20:24 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+210UFD−290+4.6%WizEdgeCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.43G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMArtturi LehkonenLWOver 0.5 · 31.9%19:00 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+250UFD−360+5.1%WizEdgeCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.38G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMJuraj SlafkovskýLWOver 0.5 · 30.4%19:14 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+195UFD−270−1.3%WizEdgeMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.36G
CHI vs MTL8:00 PMConnor BedardCOver 0.5 · 29.4%20:23 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+175UFD−240−4.6%WizEdge
CHI vs MTL8:00 PM0.35G
CHI vs MTL8:00 PMTyler BertuzziLWOver 0.5 · 25.7%17:19 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+270UFD−400+0.5%WizEdgeCHI vs MTL8:00 PM0.30G
TBL @ COL9:00 PMAnthony CirelliCOver 0.5 · 25.4%17:04 projected TOINo line yetTBL @ COL9:00 PM0.29G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMGabriel LandeskogLWOver 0.5 · 23.8%15:57 projected TOINo line yetCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.27G
CHI vs MTL8:00 PMRoman KantserovRWOver 0.5 · 23.4%18:29 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+260UFD−400−2.4%WizEdgeCHI vs MTL8:00 PM0.27G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMChris KreiderLWOver 0.5 · 22.5%15:11 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+240UFD−350−5.0%WizEdgeMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.25G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMJosh AndersonRWOver 0.5 · 22.1%14:08 projected TOINo line yetMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.25G
CHI vs MTL8:00 PMPatrick KaneRWOver 0.5 · 21.4%19:19 projected TOI0.5 GOFD+275UFD−420−3.4%WizEdgeCHI vs MTL8:00 PM0.24G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMT.J. HughesRWOver 0.5 · 20.5%14:51 projected TOINo line yetCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.23G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMZachary BolducRWOver 0.5 · 20.4%13:51 projected TOINo line yetMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.23G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMJaden SchwartzLWOver 0.5 · 20.1%14:03 projected TOINo line yetCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.22G
COL vs TBL9:00 PMParker KellyCOver 0.5 · 19.6%12:49 projected TOINo line yetCOL vs TBL9:00 PM0.22G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMSamuel PoulinRWOver 0.5 · 19.6%13:49 projected TOINo line yetMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.22G
MTL @ CHI8:00 PMOliver KapanenCOver 0.5 · 19.5%12:11 projected TOINo line yetMTL @ CHI8:00 PM0.22G
TBL @ COL9:00 PMIlya MikheyevRWOver 0.5 · 19.4%15:11 projected TOINo line yetTBL @ COL9:00 PM0.22G
CHI vs MTL8:00 PMAnton FrondellCOver 0.5 · 19.2%16:59 projected TOINo line yetCHI vs MTL8:00 PM0.21G
TBL @ COL9:00 PMPontus HolmbergRWOver 0.5 · 17.7%13:54 projected TOINo line yetTBL @ COL9:00 PM0.19GNot a play. Every one of these is graded against the closing line the morning after, and nothing is posted until a market beats the book on a full season, out of sample. We're still tuning this market, so its record isn't shown here yet — the grading runs every morning all the same.
2026-27 · the rate behind it
715 skaters over 2026-27, 1,634 hours of ice time. Rate is per 60 minutes, pulled toward the player's position by 20 hours of prior — solved from this season, not a checked-in number.
This is a measured rate, not a model. The number is real — it's what he did, shrunk so a short sample doesn't masquerade as a hot one — but nothing here has been fitted and scored against a season it hadn't seen. Shots on goal is the only board that has.