The headline number
520 rows graded this week, all MLB. No Play of the Day pool and no posted plays went through the grader this week, so this one's about the boards.
The full board finished 477 of 1384. That's the widest lens MatchWiz offers — every matchup it ranked, not just the top calls — and it's the number to anchor everything else against.
The ranked tiers
Narrow the lens and the picture holds roughly steady. Top 3 ranked matchups went 40 of 79. Top 5 went 148 of 361. Top 10 went 235 of 631.
None of the tiers ran away from the full board's rate this week. No tier collapsed either. It was a week of consistency rather than standout tiers.
Hits and total bases carried the slate
Among the individual stat boards, Hits was the strongest performer: 57% across 144 graded matchups. Total bases wasn't far behind at 52% on 142 graded matchups.
H+R+RBI landed in the middle at 49% across 143 matchups. DFS points came in at 40% on 144 matchups — a board that's harder to nail because it's stacking multiple outcomes into one number.
Where the board missed
Home runs and stolen bases were the two coldest boards of the week, both finishing at 8% across 144 graded matchups apiece. Those are the toughest outcomes to call in baseball on a good week, and this wasn't a good week for either.
RBI finished at 27% on 144 matchups. Walks finished at 26% on 144. Runs sat at 32% on 144. All three middle-of-the-pack, none of them a bright spot.
Every number above comes from the same graded ledger the boards publish — roll any board back to that week and you'll find the same calls. Research signals from a statistical model, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER). Method: how MatchWiz works.