Nice

Ligue 1 · 14th · 5 pts · GD -3

DLDLW

Nice are 14th in Ligue 1, 1-2-2, with 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded a game — and the goals against are the story of the season.

Next match

Oct 11 · 9:00 AM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

9:00 AM ET

Proj1.2–1.6

Match page →

NiceHOME28%1.2proj+257fair+141mkt-13.6%

Draw27%—proj+275fair+282mkt+0.5%

StrasbourgAWAY45%1.6proj+121fair+209mktModel lean+13.0%

O2.5 55% · mkt 56%BTTS 58%1H O1.5 37%

This season

Ligue 1 · 2026-27

Record1-2-25 played

Scored0.603 goals

Conceded1.206 against

Clean sheets1Of 5 matches

Both scored40%Of their matches

Over 2.540%Three goals or more

Home1-2-03–23 matches

Away0-0-20–42 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win2-340%

Over 2.51-420%

Both to score2-340%

Every pick the model made on Nice this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Ligue 1 table

#ClubPGDPts

Brest5-15

Lorient5-15

Toulouse5-25

Nice5-35

Lens504

Troyes5-74

Marseille5-13

Nice's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Nice sit 14th on 5 points after 5 matches. That's -2 places clear of the drop, which is close enough to watch. That's 1.00 points a game.

Going forward

3 goals in 5 matches is where Nice's season sits going forward — 0.6 a game. That's a real problem going forward, and it shows up in how their totals get priced. 40% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Nice have conceded 6 goals, 1.2 a game. That's solid without being airtight. They've kept 1 clean sheet — 20% of their matches.

Next up

Nice are at home to Strasbourg. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 5 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.