MatchWiz

Kajan JohnsonRagin

23-14-1 · MatchWiz rating 1568

Age42Height5'11"Reach75.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionLightweightCampTriStar GymCountryCanada

Rating trend

15002015201720181568

current 1568 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Kajan Johnson is 4-2 across 6 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1568 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He goes the distance

Kajan rarely finishes — most of his wins come on the cards. That's not a criticism; decision fighters are often the most predictable profile on a board, because they win by accumulating rather than by landing one shot. It does mean his ceiling in any single fight is capped, and that the judges become a variable no model handles well.

Age matters more here than in most sports

Kajan is 42. MMA decline tends to arrive suddenly rather than gradually — durability goes before output does, so a fighter can look sharp on the stats right up until he doesn't. The model factors age in, and it's one of the places we'd trust the number least on any individual fight.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Kajan is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Kajan Johnson — FAQ

What is Kajan Johnson's record?

4-2 across 6 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1568 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Kajan Johnson?

He lands 2.5 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.4, with 1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 61% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Kajan Johnson's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Sep 15, 2018Rustam KhabilovL · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik-13
Jul 28, 2018Islam MakhachevL · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2-41
Mar 17, 2018Stevie RayW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov+27
Sep 9, 2017Adriano MartinsW · KO/TKO R3UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2+36
Sep 26, 2015Naoyuki KotaniW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs. Nelson+29
May 16, 2015Lipeng ZhangW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Faber+29

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →