MatchWiz

Rory MacDonaldThe Red King

23-10-1 · MatchWiz rating 1440

Age37Height6'0"Reach76"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWelterweightCampTriStar GymCountryCanada

Rating trend

1500201520161440

current 1440 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Rory and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result. For Rory specifically, Rory has only 2 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.

Rory MacDonald — FAQ

What kind of fighter is Rory MacDonald?

He lands 3.2 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.9, with 0 takedowns per 15 minutes. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Rory MacDonald's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jun 19, 2016Stephen ThompsonL · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs. Thompson-22
Jul 11, 2015Robbie LawlerL · KO/TKO R5UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor-38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →