MatchWiz

Trevor SmithHot Sauce

15-10-0 · MatchWiz rating 1494

Age45Height6'3"Reach75"StanceOrthodoxDivisionMiddleweightCampRing Demon Jiu-JitsuCountryUSA

Rating trend

1500201520162017201820191494

current 1494 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Trevor Smith is 3-4 across 7 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1494 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He goes the distance

Trevor rarely finishes — most of his wins come on the cards. That's not a criticism; decision fighters are often the most predictable profile on a board, because they win by accumulating rather than by landing one shot. It does mean his ceiling in any single fight is capped, and that the judges become a variable no model handles well.

Age matters more here than in most sports

Trevor is 45. MMA decline tends to arrive suddenly rather than gradually — durability goes before output does, so a fighter can look sharp on the stats right up until he doesn't. The model factors age in, and it's one of the places we'd trust the number least on any individual fight.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Trevor and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Trevor Smith — FAQ

What is Trevor Smith's record?

3-4 across 7 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1494 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Trevor Smith?

He lands 3.1 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.3, with 1.7 takedowns per 15 minutes and 75% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Trevor Smith's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Dec 7, 2019Makhmud MuradovL · KO/TKO R3UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik-18
Dec 15, 2018Zak CummingsL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2-13
May 27, 2018Elias TheodorouL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till-32
May 28, 2017Chris CamozziW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira+30
Dec 9, 2016Andrew SanchezL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov-35
Aug 6, 2016Joe GigliottiW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres+29
Jul 12, 2015Dan MillerW · Decision - Unanimous R3The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale+32

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →