Where he stands
Ronda Rousey is 2-2 across 4 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1506 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.
He wants the fight on the mat
Ronda lands 0 takedowns per 15 minutes and threatens 2 submissions in the same span. That's the profile the model reads first, because grappling decides where a fight happens and where it happens decides most of the rest. His matchups turn on one number more than any other — the opponent's takedown defense. Against 85%-plus defense the same fighter looks ordinary; against a striker who can't stop it he looks unbeatable.
How the model reads him
Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Ronda and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.
What we'd flag
Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result. For Ronda specifically, Ronda has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.