Where he stands
Tony Kelley is 2-2 across 4 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1513 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.
He's a volume striker
Tony lands 5.5 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.9. That differential is modest, which puts him in the large middle of the division rather than the top of it. His takedown defense sits at 52% — for a striker that's the number that decides whether he gets to fight his fight at all.
How the model reads him
The number attached to Tony is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.
What we'd flag
Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most. For Tony specifically, Tony has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.