MatchWiz

Tom Breese

18-7-0 · MatchWiz rating 1580

Age34Height6'3"Reach73.5"StanceSouthpawDivisionMiddleweightCampRenegade MMACountryEngland

Rating trend

1500201520162018202020211580

current 1580 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Tom Breese is 5-3 across 8 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1580 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

80% of Tom's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 2.8 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Tom and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Tom Breese — FAQ

What is Tom Breese's record?

5-3 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1580 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Tom Breese?

He lands 3.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.8, with 0 takedowns per 15 minutes and 71% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Tom Breese's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jan 20, 2021Omari AkhmedovL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny-22
Oct 10, 2020KB BhullarW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen+14
Feb 29, 2020Brendan AllenL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo-21
May 27, 2018Daniel KellyW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till+37
Jun 4, 2016Sean StricklandL · Decision - Split R3UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2-34
Feb 27, 2016Keita NakamuraW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping+29
Oct 24, 2015Cathal PendredW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs. Smolka+37
May 30, 2015Luiz Dutra Jr.W · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →