MatchWiz

Yair RodriguezEl Pantera

21-5-0 · MatchWiz rating 1647

Age33Height5'11"Reach71"StanceOrthodoxDivisionFeatherweightCampValle Flow StrikingCountryMexico

Rating trend

150020152016201720182019202120222023202420251647

current 1647 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Yair Rodriguez is 10-4 across 14 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1647 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He's a volume striker

Yair lands 4.8 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.9. That differential is modest, which puts him in the large middle of the division rather than the top of it. His takedown defense sits at 59% — for a striker that's the number that decides whether he gets to fight his fight at all.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Yair is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Yair Rodriguez — FAQ

What is Yair Rodriguez's record?

10-4 across 14 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1647 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Yair Rodriguez?

He lands 4.8 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.9, with 0.6 takedowns per 15 minutes and 59% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Yair Rodriguez's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Apr 13, 2025Patricio PitbullW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes+10
Feb 25, 2024Brian OrtegaL · Submission R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2-20
Jul 9, 2023Alexander VolkanovskiL · KO/TKO R3UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez-16
Feb 12, 2023Josh EmmettW · Submission R2UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski+19
Jul 16, 2022Brian OrtegaW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez+21
Nov 13, 2021Max HollowayL · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez-15
Oct 19, 2019Jeremy StephensW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman+10
Sep 22, 2019Jeremy StephensNC · No Contest R1UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Nov 11, 2018Chan Sung JungW · KO/TKO R5UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez+15
May 14, 2017Frankie EdgarL · TKO - Doctor's Stoppage R2UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2-24
Jan 16, 2017BJ PennW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn+26
Aug 6, 2016Alex CaceresW · Decision - Split R5UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres+23
Apr 24, 2016Andre FiliW · KO/TKO R2UFC 197: Jones vs. Saint Preux+32
Oct 3, 2015Dan HookerW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 192: Cormier vs. Gustafsson+33
Jun 14, 2015Charles RosaW · Decision - Split R3UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum+32

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →