MatchWiz

Sage NorthcuttSuper

12-3-0 · MatchWiz rating 1556

Age30Height6'0"Reach71.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionLightweightCampTeam Alpha MaleCountryUSA

Rating trend

150020152016201720181556

current 1556 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Sage Northcutt is 6-2 across 8 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1556 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

No single dominant tool

Sage's rates don't point hard in any direction — 3.6 strikes landed a minute, 1.8 takedowns per 15, 42% takedown defense. That's the most common profile in the sport and the hardest to project, because the matchup rather than the fighter decides which skill ends up mattering.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Sage and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Sage Northcutt — FAQ

What is Sage Northcutt's record?

6-2 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1556 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Sage Northcutt?

He lands 3.6 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2, with 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and 42% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Sage Northcutt's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jul 15, 2018Zak OttowW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov+18
Feb 18, 2018Thibault GoutiW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Medeiros+12
Nov 12, 2017Michel QuinonesW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis+14
Dec 18, 2016Mickey GallL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: VanZant vs. Waterson-36
Jul 10, 2016Enrique MarinW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes+28
Jan 31, 2016Bryan BarberenaL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs. Bader-49
Dec 10, 2015Cody PfisterW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant+34
Oct 3, 2015Francisco TrevinoW · KO/TKO R1UFC 192: Cormier vs. Gustafsson+35

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →