MatchWiz

Chepe MariscalMachine Gun

18-7-0 · MatchWiz rating 1643

Age33Height5'7"Reach69"StanceOrthodoxDivisionFeatherweightCampSyndicate MMACountryUSA

Rating trend

15002023202420251643

current 1643 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Chepe Mariscal is 5-1 across 6 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1643 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He goes the distance

Chepe rarely finishes — most of his wins come on the cards. That's not a criticism; decision fighters are often the most predictable profile on a board, because they win by accumulating rather than by landing one shot. It does mean his ceiling in any single fight is capped, and that the judges become a variable no model handles well.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Chepe is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Chepe Mariscal — FAQ

What is Chepe Mariscal's record?

5-1 across 6 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1643 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Chepe Mariscal?

He lands 4.1 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.7, with 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes and 59% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Chepe Mariscal's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Nov 15, 2025Pat SabatiniL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev-18
Mar 1, 2025Ricardo RamosW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev+24
Aug 10, 2024Damon JacksonW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2+30
Apr 6, 2024Morgan CharrièreW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2+25
Sep 10, 2023Jack JenkinsW · KO/TKO R2UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland+44
Jun 24, 2023Trevor PeekW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →