MatchWiz

Jeff HughesLights Out

10-4-0 · MatchWiz rating 1442

Age38Height6'2"Reach77"StanceOrthodoxDivisionHeavyweightCampStrong Style Fight TeamCountryUSA

Rating trend

15002018201920201442

current 1442 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Jeff Hughes is 1-3 across 4 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1442 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

100% of Jeff's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.7 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Jeff and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result. For Jeff specifically, Jeff has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.

Jeff Hughes — FAQ

What is Jeff Hughes's record?

1-3 across 4 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1442 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Jeff Hughes?

He lands 3.9 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.7, with 0.7 takedowns per 15 minutes and 45% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Jeff Hughes's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Sep 26, 2020Juan EspinoL · Submission R1UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa-31
Oct 26, 2019Raphael PessoaL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren-36
Sep 15, 2019Todd DuffeeNC · No Contest R1UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Mar 9, 2019Maurice GreeneL · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos-29
Jul 25, 2018Josh AppeltW · KO/TKO R1Dana White's Contender Series: Season 2, Week 6+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →