MatchWiz

Luan Lacerda

13-4-0 · MatchWiz rating 1446

Age33Height5'7"Reach71.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionBantamweightCampNova Uniao CountryBrazil

Rating trend

15002023202520261446

current 1446 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Luan Lacerda is 1-3 across 4 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1446 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

100% of Luan's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 6.1 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Luan is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most. For Luan specifically, Luan has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.

Luan Lacerda — FAQ

What is Luan Lacerda's record?

1-3 across 4 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1446 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Luan Lacerda?

He lands 4.1 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 6.1, with 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and 67% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Luan Lacerda's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Mar 14, 2026Hecher SosaL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos-27
Oct 11, 2025Saimon OliveiraW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot+38
Jun 3, 2023Da'Mon BlackshearL · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi-39
Jan 21, 2023Cody StamannL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill-26

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →