MatchWiz

Rodrigo NascimentoZe Colmeia

12-5-0 · MatchWiz rating 1569

Age33Height6'2"Reach80"StanceOrthodoxDivisionHeavyweightCampAmerican Top TeamCountryBrazil

Rating trend

1500201920202022202320241569

current 1569 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Rodrigo Nascimento is 5-3 across 8 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1569 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

No single dominant tool

Rodrigo's rates don't point hard in any direction — 3.7 strikes landed a minute, 1 takedowns per 15, 61% takedown defense. That's the most common profile in the sport and the hardest to project, because the matchup rather than the fighter decides which skill ends up mattering.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Rodrigo is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Rodrigo Nascimento — FAQ

What is Rodrigo Nascimento's record?

5-3 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1569 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Rodrigo Nascimento?

He lands 3.7 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.3, with 1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 61% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Rodrigo Nascimento's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Nov 2, 2024Alexandr RomanovL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi-15
May 11, 2024Derrick LewisL · KO/TKO R3UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento-19
Nov 5, 2023Don'Tale MayesW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis+13
May 20, 2023Ilir LatifiW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill+31
Sep 17, 2022Tanner BoserW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song+29
Jul 17, 2021Alan BaudotNC · No Contest R2UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Oct 10, 2020Chris DaukausL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen-42
May 16, 2020Don'Tale MayesW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris+35
Jul 31, 2019Michal MartinekW · Submission R1Dana White's Contender Series: Season 3, Week 6+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →