MatchWiz

Casey O'NeillKing

11-2-0 · MatchWiz rating 1595

Age28Height5'6"Reach69"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWomen's FlyweightCampXtreme CoutureCountryAustralia

Rating trend

1500202120222023202420261595

current 1595 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Casey O'Neill is 6-2 across 8 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1595 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

67% of Casey's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 5.5 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Casey and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Casey O'Neill — FAQ

What is Casey O'Neill's record?

6-2 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1595 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Casey O'Neill?

He lands 7.9 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 5.5, with 1.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and 70% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Casey O'Neill's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Sep 19, 2026Eduarda MouraupcomingUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Mar 28, 2026Gabriella FernandesW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer+17
Aug 18, 2024Luana SantosW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya+18
Dec 17, 2023Ariane Lipski da SilvaL · Submission R2UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington-23
Mar 18, 2023Jennifer MaiaL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3-39
Feb 13, 2022Roxanne ModafferiW · Decision - Split R3UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2+19
Oct 2, 2021Antonina ShevchenkoW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker+34
Jun 19, 2021Lara ProcopioW · Submission R3UFC Fight Night: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige+35
Feb 20, 2021Shana DobsonW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis+35

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →