MatchWiz

Michael Morales

19-0-0 · MatchWiz rating 1709

Age27Height6'0"Reach79"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWelterweightCampEntram GymCountryEcuador

Rating trend

1500202120222023202420251709

current 1709 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Michael Morales is 8-0 across 8 fights on our tape. He's on a 8-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1709 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

63% of Michael's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.3 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Michael's rating updates after every result and weights the quality of the opponent. Against a specific opponent it becomes a win probability, adjusted for the stylistic matchup — striking output against absorption, takedown rate against takedown defense — plus age and layoff. The weighting is ours; the output is published on the fight board and graded.

What we'd flag

The tape starts in 2015 and covers UFC and Contender Series only, so career records elsewhere aren't reflected. Beyond that: MMA has the highest single-event variance of anything we model, and no rating survives contact with a flush shot.

Michael Morales — FAQ

What is Michael Morales's record?

8-0 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1709 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Michael Morales?

He lands 5.7 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.3, with 1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 90% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Michael Morales's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Nov 16, 2025Sean BradyW · KO/TKO R1UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev+19
May 17, 2025Gilbert BurnsW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales+16
Aug 25, 2024Neil MagnyW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho+18
Nov 18, 2023Jake MatthewsW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig+27
Jul 1, 2023Max GriffinW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov+26
Jul 30, 2022Adam FugittW · KO/TKO R3UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2+30
Jan 23, 2022Trevin GilesW · KO/TKO R1UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane+41
Sep 22, 2021Nikolay VeretennikovW · Decision - Unanimous R3Dana White's Contender Series: Season 5, Week 4+32

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →