MatchWiz

Jesus Aguilar

12-4-0 · MatchWiz rating 1567

Age30Height5'4"Reach62.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionFlyweightCampEntram GymCountryMexico

Rating trend

1500202220232024202520261567

current 1567 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Jesus Aguilar is 5-3 across 8 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1567 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

60% of Jesus's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 2.3 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Jesus and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Jesus Aguilar — FAQ

What is Jesus Aguilar's record?

5-3 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1567 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Jesus Aguilar?

He lands 2.5 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.3, with 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes and 45% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Jesus Aguilar's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Mar 7, 2026SumudaerjiL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2-19
Sep 13, 2025Luis GuruleW · Decision - Unanimous R3Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva+12
Feb 15, 2025Rafael EstevamL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues-17
Aug 17, 2024Stewart NicollW · Submission R1UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya+32
Feb 25, 2024Mateus MendoncaW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2+24
Jul 8, 2023Shannon RossW · KO/TKO R1UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez+30
Feb 5, 2023Tatsuro TairaL · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac-35
Aug 24, 2022Erisson FerreiraW · Submission R3Dana White's Contender Series: Season 6, Week 5+42

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →