MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Friday, July 3, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers (SF) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.013 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 3.793 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat worth about 2.20 fantasy points a trip. And Ryan Feltner has been giving up points to righties lately — 1.667 fantasy points per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Ryan Feltner, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Luis Arraez (SF) (91) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at 1.833 into an arm giving up points to the same side (1.667), hitter's park.
- Junior Caminero (TB) (90) vs RHP Spencer Arrighetti: an elite bat at 2.330 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Mickey Moniak (COL) (87) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at 1.941 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (85) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at 1.836 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (84) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: a strong bat at 1.919 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.793).
- Brooks Lee (MIN) (84) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: a strong bat at 1.996 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.793), hot bat.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (82) vs RHP Spencer Arrighetti: a strong bat at 2.028 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Mitch Keller has been getting lit up by righties — 1.915 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), Daylen Lile (WSH), and Curtis Mead (WSH).
- RHP Gerrit Cole has been vulnerable to righties — 1.813 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN).
- RHP Brady Singer has been vulnerable to righties — 1.782 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Gunnar Henderson (BAL), Adley Rutschman (BAL), and Taylor Ward (BAL).
- LHP David Peterson has been giving up points to lefties — 1.697 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Jordan Walker (STL), Iván Herrera (STL), and JJ Wetherholt (STL).
Platoon edges to target
- Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.013 against righties this year.
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.757 against righties this year.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.865 against righties this year.
- Brooks Lee (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.974 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.117 against righties this year.
Best parks for fantasy points today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% fantasy park). Top bat there: Rafael Devers (SF) at 100.
Lineup watch
234 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.