MatchWiz

CHC @ BAL Live projections & gamecast · Wednesday, July 8, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
97
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 3/5 field 13/18Home Runs · top 5 2/5 field 5/18RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 7/18Runs · top 5 2/5 field 10/18Walks · top 5 3/5 field 6/18Stolen Bases · top 5 1/5 field 1/18Total Bases · leans 11/18H+R+RBI · leans 11/18Strikeouts · leans 0/2Outs Recorded · leans 1/2Hits Allowed · leans 0/2Walks Allowed · leans 1/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob CHC 43% · BAL 57%Proj total 8.6 vs line 9.5NRFI 45% (mkt 45%) Samuel Basallo · RBIs 92 Dean Kremer · Outs Recorded 86 Pete Alonso · RBIs 86

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

BAL BAL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this CHC @ BAL page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.