Best MLB fantasy points matchups — Saturday, July 4, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, July 4, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 30 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Projected DK Points21.6 pts
Innings5.9
Strikeouts7.8
Win probability43%
Earned runs1.8
Hits / Walks4.9 / 1.6
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
No pts recorded yet today — leaders fill in live as games get underway.
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Fantasy Points Matchups — Saturday, July 4, 2026
Chris Sale (ATL) is the top fantasy points spot on the Saturday, July 4, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 21.6 pts, with Hunter Greene (CIN) right behind. Every starter is ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Chris Sale
Chris Sale (ATL) tops the Saturday, July 4, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 21.6 pts vs NYM. Innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed.
The rest of the top of the board
Hunter Greene (CIN) (100) — about 21.6 pts vs BAL.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) (92) — about 20.5 pts vs HOU.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (83) — about 19.1 pts vs SD.
Sonny Gray (BOS) (78) — about 18.5 pts vs LAA.
Parker Messick (CLE) (77) — about 18.3 pts vs CWS.
How to read the fantasy points board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. We project a fantasy points count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best fantasy points matchup today (Saturday, July 4, 2026)?
Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 21.6 pts against NYM.
What are the best pitcher fantasy points props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, July 4, 2026: Chris Sale (~21.6 pts), Hunter Greene (~21.6 pts), Drew Rasmussen (~20.5 pts), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~19.1 pts), Sonny Gray (~18.5 pts). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the fantasy points score calculated?
Ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected fantasy points count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best fantasy points spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
What the fantasy points board is
The Fantasy Points board projects a starter's projected DraftKings fantasy points. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number
It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His strikeout, outs, earned-run, hits and walks projections, composed via the DK pitcher formula.
Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here?
Composed from the tuned pitcher boards, so it inherits their sharpness. A DFS tool, not a book market.
How to use it
The pitcher side of the DFS build — sort by value, then lock a top arm in the optimizer.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
