MatchWiz

Alex Freeland

Alex Freeland — hitting .253 in our graded log with 3 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
47.9
Runs · vs COL · 2026-07-07
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
60
this season, box-score final
Alex Freeland
2BBats SThrows RLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs47.9/100proj 0.5#21Hits36.9/100proj 1#34Total Bases36.6/100proj 1.5#33Stolen Bases29.5/100proj 0#40H+R+RBI27.7/100proj 1.6#41Doubles17.1/100proj 0.2#226Singles17.1/100proj 0.6#226Triples17.1/100proj 0#226RBIs17/100proj 0.3#53Fantasy Points16.7/100proj 6.2#34Walks16.6/100proj 0.4#21Home Runs10.9/100proj 0.1#39

Not on the current slate

Alex hasn't been scored in 47 days — his last matchup was against Colorado Rockies on Tuesday, July 7, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Alex is 5-for-22 (.227) over his last 10 games, in line with his .253 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Alex strikes out a lot — 61 strikeouts in 170 at-bats, roughly 36%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 3 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He bats from both sides

Alex is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Alex takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Alex has recorded at least one hit in 28 of 57 games he's batted in — 49% — with 11 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Alex is hitting .225 at home (18-for-80) and .278 on the road (25-for-90) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Alex's biggest night was Tuesday, July 7, 2026 against COL — 3-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Alex a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 60 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Alex was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: runs graded 47.9/100 while home runs came in at 10.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Alex's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Alex specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 26@ 00000
Monday, July 20@ 20000
Sunday, July 19@ 00000
Saturday, July 11@ 10000
Tuesday, July 7vs COL43011
Sunday, July 5vs SD41001
Saturday, July 4vs SD31000
Friday, July 3vs SD20000
Wednesday, July 1@ ATH40000
Monday, June 29@ ATH20000
Sunday, June 28@ SD21020
Saturday, June 27@ SD40010

Alex Freeland — FAQ

Is Alex Freeland playing today?

Alex Freeland isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Tuesday, July 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Alex Freeland been hitting lately?

Alex is 5-for-22 (.227) over his last 10 games, against .253 on the season across 170 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Alex Freeland appear on?

Alex was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — runs, hits, total bases, stolen bases, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Alex Freeland's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).