MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Cincinnati Reds

Caleb Ferguson

Caleb Ferguson — 1-0, 1.76 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
1.76
1-0 · 15 K, 1.30 WHIP
Games graded
15
this season, box-score final
Caleb Ferguson
PBats RThrows LCincinnati Reds

Today's matchup

Caleb isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Caleb struck out 1 over 0.7 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Caleb's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Caleb has 4 strikeouts in 4.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Caleb's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Tuesday, June 30@ MIL0.71101
Saturday, June 27@ PIT1.01110
Friday, June 26@ PIT1.01100
Tuesday, June 23vs MIL0.70100
Sunday, June 21@ NYY1.01100
Friday, June 19@ NYY1.70100
Monday, June 15vs NYM0.72102
Saturday, June 13vs AZ0.71101
Wednesday, June 10@ SD0.30220
Tuesday, June 9@ SD0.30101
Sunday, June 7@ STL1.01001
Wednesday, June 3vs KC1.31000

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).