MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Atlanta Braves

Grant Holmes

Grant Holmes — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: earned runs at 95.4/100.

Today's top board
95.4
Earned Runs · vs NYM
Season line · ERA
3.96
4-4 · 69 K, 1.36 WHIP
Games graded
16
this season, box-score final
Grant Holmes
PBats LThrows RAtlanta Braves
Earned Runs95.4/100proj 2#2Hits Allowed75.6/100proj 4.4#3Walks Allowed38.1/100proj 2.3#20Strikeouts27.5/100proj 4.5#19Fantasy Points27.1/100proj 11.8#17Outs Recorded27.1/100proj 13.7#21

Today's matchup

Grant is hosting New York Mets on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — earned runs (95.4/100, #2), hits allowed (75.6/100, #3), walks allowed (38.1/100, #20), strikeouts (27.5/100, #19). We project Grant for 2 on the earned runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Grant struck out 4 over 4.0 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Grant's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Grant has 16 strikeouts in 20.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Grant's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Saturday, June 27@ SF4.04100
Monday, June 22@ SD4.74315
Tuesday, June 16vs SF2.02433
Tuesday, June 9@ CWS3.72432
Wednesday, June 3vs TOR6.04522
Friday, May 29@ CIN4.75731
Saturday, May 23vs WSH5.010622
Sunday, May 17vs BOS6.04501
Tuesday, May 12vs CHC4.05124
Friday, May 1@ COL5.04753
Friday, April 24vs PHI6.04733
Sunday, April 19@ PHI4.74421

Grant Holmes — FAQ

Who is Grant Holmes facing today?

Grant Holmes is hosting New York Mets on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 95.4/100 on our earned runs board.

What's Grant Holmes's projection today?

We project Grant for 2 on the earned runs board (home vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).