MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Kansas City Royals

Lucas Erceg

Lucas Erceg — 3-3, 5.24 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
5.24
3-3 · 25 K, 1.71 WHIP
Games graded
34
this season, box-score final
Lucas Erceg
PBats LThrows RKansas City Royals

Today's matchup

Lucas isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Lucas struck out 0 over 1.0 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Lucas's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Lucas has 2 strikeouts in 5.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Lucas's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Tuesday, June 30vs TB1.00000
Sunday, June 28@ CWS1.00001
Friday, June 26@ CWS1.00220
Wednesday, June 24@ TB1.01100
Sunday, June 21vs STL1.31100
Wednesday, June 17@ WSH1.01000
Friday, June 12vs HOU2.00101
Wednesday, June 10vs TEX0.31012
Sunday, June 7@ MIN0.70200
Saturday, June 6@ MIN1.01001
Tuesday, June 2@ CIN1.02112
Saturday, May 30@ TEX0.00530

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).