MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · New York Yankees

Max Fried

Max Fried — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: strikeouts at 53.9/100.

Today's top board
53.9
Strikeouts · @ BAL
Season line · ERA
3.21
4-3 · 50 K, 1.00 WHIP
Games graded
10
this season, box-score final
Max Fried
PBats LThrows LNew York Yankees
Strikeouts53.9/100proj 5.6#11

Today's matchup

Max is at Baltimore Orioles on the Wednesday, May 13, 2026 slate. He lands on 1 of our boards — strikeouts (53.9/100, #11). We project Max for 5.6 on the strikeouts board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Max struck out 2 over 3.0 innings, 3 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Max's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Max has 27 strikeouts in 28.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Max's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Wednesday, May 13@ BAL3.02531
Friday, May 8@ MIL6.05653
Sunday, May 3vs BAL5.36633
Monday, April 27@ TEX6.05402
Wednesday, April 22@ BOS8.09302
Thursday, April 16vs LAA5.33353
Saturday, April 11@ TB8.06630
Sunday, April 5vs MIA6.74533
Tuesday, March 31@ SEA7.06301
Wednesday, March 25@ SF6.34201

Max Fried — FAQ

Who is Max Fried facing today?

Max Fried is facing Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. His best matchup grades 53.9/100 on our strikeouts board.

What's Max Fried's projection today?

We project Max for 5.6 on the strikeouts board (away vs BAL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).