Today's matchup
Nathan is hosting Detroit Tigers on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — fantasy points (100/100, #1), outs recorded (100/100, #1), strikeouts (96.2/100, #2), walks allowed (65.3/100, #3). We project Nathan for 19.5 on the fantasy points board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Recent form
Last time out, Nathan struck out 9 over 5.0 innings, 3 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.
Nathan's recent starts
Over his last 5 starts, Nathan has 36 strikeouts in 30.7 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.
How the model reads him
Nathan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.