Today's matchup
Petey draws Colorado Rockies on the road today. He shows up on 12 boards — stolen bases (79/100), total bases (55.4/100), fantasy points (52.9/100), runs (52.6/100). We've got him at 0.2 on the stolen bases board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
Recent form
Petey is 6-for-27 (.222) over his last 10 games, in line with his .212 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
He's a left-handed bat
Petey hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Petey has recorded at least one hit in 23 of 50 games he's batted in — 46% — with 5 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Petey is hitting .231 at home (15-for-65) and .194 on the road (14-for-72) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Petey a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 57 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Petey was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 79/100 while walks came in at 13.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Petey gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.
What we'd flag
Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Petey specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.