Today's matchup
Shohei is hosting San Diego Padres on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 15 of our boards — home runs (100/100, #1), walks (97.2/100, #2), fantasy points (84.1/100, #3), outs recorded (83.8/100, #3). We project Shohei for 0.5 on the home runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Shohei's recent starts
Over his last 1 starts, Shohei has 8 strikeouts in 6.0 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.
How the model reads him
Shohei's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.